New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers 📍 Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA | 🕐 Friday May 8 at 5:10 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: Philadelphia 76ers -1 (-106) | New York Knicks +1 (-105) - Moneyline: Philadelphia 76ers -118 | New York Knicks +105 - O/U: 214.5 (Over -105)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - Philadelphia 76ers: 45-37 | Net -0.1 | Off 114.3 | Def 114.4 - New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3
Last 10 Games: - Philadelphia 76ers: Net -7.4 | Off 109.2 | Def 116.6 | ↓ fading (-7.3) - New York Knicks: Net +19.4 | Off 123.2 | Def 103.8 | ↑ trending (+13.0)
Rest: - Philadelphia 76ers: 2d rest - New York Knicks: 2d rest
Injuries: - Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid (Day-To-Day - Ankle) - New York Knicks: Josh Hart (Day-To-Day - Thumb), Mitchell Robinson (Day-To-Day - Illness), OG Anunoby (Day-To-Day - Hamstring)
Value Analysis: - Philadelphia 76ers: net -0.1 − 3.4 (Joel Embiid Day-To-Day) = -3.5 - New York Knicks: net +6.4 − 2.9 (Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson, OG Anunoby Day-To-Day) = +3.5 - Edge: -3.5 − (+3.5) = -7 → Philadelphia 76ers favored by 7 pts - Implied spread: -(edge -7 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -4.5 - Actual spread: -1.5 → line 6 pts steep on Philadelphia 76ers — lean New York Knicks +1.5 - O/U implied total: (109.2 + 123.2) × 0.92 = 213.8 - O/U actual: 214.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks +1 (-105, Caesars) — Ratings imply -4.5, actual line is -1.5, gap of 6 pts — steep on Philadelphia 76ers. The Knicks are trending up and the Sixers have key injuries.
- Moneyline: New York Knicks +105 (Fanatics) — +105 offers value against a team fading in form with significant injury concerns; ratings strongly favor the Knicks.
- O/U: Over 214.5 (-105, BetMGM) — Implied total is 213.8, which closely matches the actual line of 214.5 — lean Over due to both teams trending up offensively in their recent performances.
I'm taking New York Knicks +1 (Spread), Over 214.5 (O/U).