New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers 📍 Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA | 🕐 Sunday May 10 at 1:40 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (-101) | New York Knicks -1 (-108) - Moneyline: Philadelphia 76ers +105 (Caesars) | New York Knicks -118 (LowVig.ag) - O/U: 214.5 (Over -105)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - Philadelphia 76ers: 45-37 | Net -0.1 | Off 114.3 | Def 114.4 - New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3
Last 10 Games: - Philadelphia 76ers: Net -8.0 | Off 108.4 | Def 116.4 | ↓ fading (-7.9) - New York Knicks: Net +18.8 | Off 122.3 | Def 103.5 | ↑ trending (+12.4)
Rest: - Philadelphia 76ers: 2d rest - New York Knicks: 2d rest
Injuries: - Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid (Day-To-Day - Hip) - New York Knicks: OG Anunoby (Day-To-Day - Hamstring)
Value Analysis: - Philadelphia 76ers: net -0.1 − 3.0 (Joel Embiid Day-To-Day) = -3.1 - New York Knicks: net +6.4 − 2.5 (OG Anunoby Day-To-Day) = +3.9 - Edge: -3.1 − (+3.9) = -7.0 → Philadelphia 76ers favored by 7.0 pts - Implied spread: -(edge -7.0 + Home court advantage 2.5) = +4.5 - Actual spread: +1.0 → line 9.1 pts steep on Philadelphia 76ers — lean New York Knicks +1.0 - O/U implied total: (108.4 + 122.3) × 0.92 = 212.2 - O/U actual: 214.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks -1 (-108, LowVig.ag) — Ratings imply +4.5, actual line is +1.0, gap of 3.5 pts — steep on Philadelphia 76ers. The Knicks are ↑ trending by a significant margin over the last ten games.
- Moneyline: New York Knicks -118 (LowVig.ag) — ratings strongly favor the Knicks and the line is underpriced despite Joel Embiid's injury risk to the Sixers.
- O/U: Under 214.5 (-105, DraftKings) — Implied total of 212.2 vs actual 214.5 suggests slight lean Under.
I'm taking New York Knicks -1 (Spread), Under 214.5 (O/U).