Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons 📍 Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI | 🕐 Wednesday May 13 at 6:10 PM MDT
The Line (DraftKings): - Spread: Detroit Pistons -4 (-105) | Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (+104) - Moneyline: Detroit Pistons -167 | Cleveland Cavaliers +155 - O/U: 212.5 (Over -110)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - [Home team]: Detroit Pistons: 60-22 | Net +8.4 | Off 117.3 | Def 108.9 - [Away team]: Cleveland Cavaliers: 52-30 | Net +4.1 | Off 118.3 | Def 114.1
Last 10 Games: - Detroit Pistons: Net +4.2 | Off 110.3 | Def 106.1 | ↓ fading (-4.2) - Cleveland Cavaliers: Net +0.1 | Off 113.2 | Def 113.1 | ↓ fading (-4.0)
Rest: - Detroit Pistons: 2d rest - Cleveland Cavaliers: 2d rest
Injuries: - Detroit Pistons: Caris LeVert (Day-To-Day - Heel), Duncan Robinson (Day-To-Day - Back), Kevin Huerter (Out - Thigh) - Cleveland Cavaliers: None notable
Value Analysis: Detroit Pistons: net +8.4 − 2.5 (Kevin Huerter Out) = +4.6 Cleveland Cavaliers: net +4.1 − 0.0 (no adjustments) = +4.1 Edge: +4.6 − (+4.1) = +1.7 → Detroit Pistons favored by 1.7 pts Implied spread: -(edge +1.7 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -4.2 Actual spread: -4.5 → line roughly matches ratings O/U implied total: (110.3 + 113.2) × 0.92 = 205.6 O/U actual: 212.5 → lean Under 212.5 — implied 6.9 pts below line
The Pick:
- Spread: Detroit Pistons -4 (-105, DraftKings) — Ratings imply -4.2, actual line is -4.5, gap of 0.3 pts — line roughly matches ratings but the underdog Cleveland Cavaliers are slightly overpriced.
- Moneyline: Not recommended — Detroit Pistons ML is -167, juice is too steep for value.
- O/U: Under 212.5 (-110, BetMGM) — Implied total is 205.6, which is 6.9 pts below the actual line of 212.5 — lean Under.
I'm taking Detroit Pistons -4 (Spread), Under 212.5 (O/U).