Toronto Tempo @ Los Angeles Sparks 📍 Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA | 🕐 8:00 PM MDT
The Line (FanDuel): - Spread: Los Angeles Sparks -7 (-105) | Toronto Tempo +7 (-108) - Moneyline: Los Angeles Sparks -310 | Toronto Tempo +270 - O/U: 170.5 (Over +102)
Season Ratings (2026): - Los Angeles Sparks: 0-2 | Net -21.8 | Off 94.5 | Def 116.4 - Toronto Tempo: 1-1 | Net +6.7 | Off 93.2 | Def 86.5
Last 10 Games: - Los Angeles Sparks: Net -21.8 | Off 94.5 | Def 116.4 | ~ stable - Toronto Tempo: Net +6.7 | Off 93.2 | Def 86.5 | ~ stable
Rest: - Los Angeles Sparks: 2d rest - Toronto Tempo: 2d rest
Injuries: - Los Angeles Sparks: Ariel Atkins (Out - Head), Sania Feagin (Out - Leg) - Toronto Tempo: Isabelle Harrison (Out - Hand), Temi Fagbenle (Out - Shoulder)
Value Analysis: - Los Angeles Sparks: net -21.8 − 3.6 (Ariel Atkins Out, 24 mpg → -3.2; Sania Feagin Out, 3 mpg → -0.4) = -25.4 - Toronto Tempo: net +6.7 − 4.1 (Isabelle Harrison Out, 15 mpg est. → -2.0; Temi Fagbenle Out, 16 mpg → -2.1) = +2.6 - Edge: -25.4 − (+2.6) = -28.0 → Los Angeles Sparks favored by 28.0 pts - Implied spread: -(edge -28.0 + Home court advantage 2.5) = +25.5 - Actual spread: -7.5 → line 33.0 pts steep on Los Angeles Sparks — lean Toronto Tempo +7.5 - O/U implied total: (94.5 + 93.2) × 0.92 = 172.7 - O/U actual: 170.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: Toronto Tempo +7 (-108, BetRivers) — Ratings imply +25.5, actual line is -7.5, gap of 33 pts — steep on Los Angeles Sparks. Ariel Atkins and Sania Feagin are both out for the Sparks.
- Moneyline: Toronto Tempo +270 (DraftKings) — -310 odds on the favored team makes this a high-risk bet without value; lean Toronto Tempo given their favorable implied spread gap.
- O/U: Over 170.5 (+102, LowVig.ag) — Implied total is 172.7, which closely matches the actual line of 170.5 — favor neutral play on this total.
I'm taking Toronto Tempo +7 (Spread), Over 170.5 (O/U).