Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks 📍 Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | 🕐 6:10 PM MDT
The Line (FanDuel & Bovada): - Spread: New York Knicks -7 (-102) | Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (+105) - Moneyline: New York Knicks -240 (Caesars) | Cleveland Cavaliers +215 (DraftKings) - O/U: 217.5 (Over -109)
Season Ratings (2025-26): - New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3 - Cleveland Cavaliers: 52-30 | Net +4.1 | Off 118.3 | Def 114.1
Last 10 Games: - New York Knicks: Net +10.5 | Off 124.8 | Def 104.8 | ↑ trending (+13.6) - Cleveland Cavaliers: Net +1.0 | Off 113.5 | Def 112.6 | ↓ fading (-3.1)
Rest: - New York Knicks: 9d rest - Cleveland Cavaliers: 2d rest
Injuries: - New York Knicks: OG Anunoby (Out - Hamstring) - Cleveland Cavaliers: Larry Nance Jr. (Day-To-Day - Illness)
Value Analysis: - New York Knicks: net +6.4 − 3.7 (OG Anunoby Out) = +2.7 - Cleveland Cavaliers: net +4.1 − 0.0 (no adjustments) = +4.1 - Edge: +2.7 − (+4.1) = -1.4 → Cleveland Cavaliers favored by 1.4 pts - Implied spread: -(edge -1.4 + Home court advantage 2.5) = +3.9 - Actual spread: -7.0 → line 6.5 pts steep on New York Knicks — lean Cleveland Cavaliers +7.0 - O/U implied total: (124.8 + 113.5) × 0.92 = 219.2 - O/U actual: 217.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (-105, Bovada) — Ratings imply -3.9, actual line is -7.0, gap of 6.5 pts — lean Cleveland Cavaliers +7.0. Knicks lose key player OG Anunoby (Out), weakening their defense.
- Moneyline: Cleveland Cavaliers +215 (DraftKings) — Ratings favor Cleveland by +1.4 points and the line is steep at -7; the Cavaliers are undervalued on ML odds.
- O/U: Over 217.5 (-109, LowVig.ag) — Implied total of 219.2 matches the actual line closely, no strong lean either way.
I'm taking Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (Spread), Over 217.5 (O/U).