Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks 📍 Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | 🕐 Wednesday May 6 at 5:10 PM MDT
The Line (BetRivers): - Spread: New York Knicks -8 (-108) | Philadelphia 76ers +7 (-101) - Moneyline: New York Knicks -287 (LowVig.ag) | Philadelphia 76ers +245 (DraftKings) - O/U: 215.5 (Over -110)
Season Ratings ([2025-26]): - New York Knicks: 53-29 | Net +6.4 | Off 118.7 | Def 112.3 - Philadelphia 76ers: 45-37 | Net -0.1 | Off 114.3 | Def 114.4
Last 10 Games: - New York Knicks: Net +10.9 | Off 124.5 | Def 103.1 | ↑ trending (+15.0) - Philadelphia 76ers: Net -7.7 | Off 109.3 | Def 117.0 | ↓ fading (-7.6)
Rest: - New York Knicks: 2d rest - Philadelphia 76ers: 2d rest
Injuries: - New York Knicks: None notable - Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid (Day-To-Day - Ankle)
Value Analysis: - New York Knicks: net +10.9 − [adj] ([Player] Out/Doubtful) = +10.9 OR net +10.9 (no adjustments) - Philadelphia 76ers: net -0.1 − 3.0 (Joel Embiid Day-To-Day) = -3.1 - Edge: +10.9 − (-3.1) = +14 → New York Knicks favored by 14 pts - Implied spread: -(edge 14 + Home court advantage 2.5) = -16.5 - Actual spread: -8.0 → line 8.5 pts cheap on New York Knicks — lean New York Knicks -8.0 - O/U implied total: (124.5 + 109.3) × 0.92 = 215.1 - O/U actual: 215.5 → line roughly matches expected scoring
The Pick:
- Spread: New York Knicks -8 (-108, BetRivers) — Ratings imply -16.5, actual line is -8.0, gap of 8.5 pts — cheap on New York Knicks. Philadelphia has the key player Joel Embiid (Day-To-Day - Ankle), which weakens their defense.
- Moneyline: Not recommended — Philadelphia 76ers +245 (DraftKings) — Ratings favor New York Knicks heavily and the moneyline is too steep at +245 for value considering implied edge.
- O/U: Under 215.5 (-110, FanDuel) — Implied total is 215.1, which roughly matches the actual line of 215.5 — lean Under. I'm taking New York Knicks -8 (Spread), Under 215.5 (O/U).